The New Space Race | SpaceNext50

Space exploration today is a long way from the United States–Soviet Union space race in the 1960s. This means that the new space race isn’t between a couple of countries but among several players, particularly the fast-growing economies of China, India, and Japan.

To be sure, the geopolitical dynamic is very different. In the 1960s it was a battle of capitalism versus communism that spurred the Soviet Union to send the first satellite and first human into space and for the United States to eventually send the first humans to the Moon. Today the conversation is more centered on economic opportunities—the chance to create unique products in microgravity or to mine rare elements from the Moon or nearby asteroids. What remains the same, though, is national prestige.

Today’s Earth-orbit space economy is dominated by small-scale manufacturing on the International Space Station (ISS; a coalition of the United States, Russia, Europe, Japan, and approximately a dozen other partner countries) as well as satellites that usually focus on surveillance, weather or climate monitoring, and telecommunications.

China, India, and Japan are all major players in this Earth-orbit ecosystem. China’s Chang Zheng (“Long March”) boosters send communications satellites and Earth-observation satellites into orbit for military and civilian purposes. India’s Polar Satellite Launch Vehicle is just one example of boosters available from the country; one of PSLV’s best-known missions was successfully sending the Chandrayaan-1 mission to the Moon. Japanese rockets have delivered not only satellites into orbit but also HTV cargo spacecraft for the ISS. That’s not even mentioning their forays across the solar system to the Moon, asteroids, and Venus.

NASA and its partner ISS countries are now considering restarting human Moon exploration; the agency stated it wants to land humans on the surface again in 2024 and opened up commercial opportunities to U.S. companies to participate. But the U.S. isn’t the only country with lunar ambitions. At one time or another, Japan, China, and India have all expressed interest in human lunar landings.

China’s human space program is the only independent one of the three countries, as it launched several astronauts into spacecraft—as well as two small space stations—in the last decade or so. China has sent several missions to the Moon, most recently its mission that landed the Chang’e 4 probe on the far side of the Moon in 2019; China, thus, became the first to soft-land a spacecraft in that lunar hemisphere. While China does not have human Moon exploration in its five-year plan for space, according to Space.com, it has run practice lunar missions on Earth and is keen on eventually expanding its human presence in space.

  • Chandrayaan-1Artist’s conception of the Chandrayaan-1 lunar probe.
    Credit: Doug Ellison
  • Russian Mir Space StationRussian Mir Space Station undocking activities, a crew member captured this 70mm frame of Mir as the two crews shared their final common sunset scene.
    Credit: NASA
  • Chang'e 1Artist’s rendering of the Chang’e 1 spacecraft. Credit: National Space Science Data Center/NASA

Japan is a current partner on the ISS and has flown several astronauts to space on the space shuttle and space station. (Japanese journalist Akiyama Toyohiro flew to the Soviet/Russian space station Mir as a spaceflight participant, independent of Japan’s space agency.) Japan’s solar system experience is quite extensive; successful uncrewed missions relevant to lunar exploration included Selene (Kaguya), which orbited the Moon, and the Hayabusa and Hayabusa2 missions to return asteroid dust grain samples. In May 2019 Japan and the United States announced a collaboration that could see Japanese astronauts fly to the Moon, although the nature of the agreement was not fully announced, according to SpaceNews.

India has already sent two missions to the Moon: the now completed Chandrayaan-1 and its successor Chandrayaan-2, which launched in July 2019 and is scheduled to land in September. Additionally, there have been two people of Indian origin who have flown in space. These were Rakesh Sharma, who flew to the Salyut 7 space station as part of the Soviet Intercosmos program in 1984, and Kalpana Chawla, a NASA astronaut who flew on two space shuttle missions and died with her crew in 2003 when the space shuttle Columbia broke up upon reentry into Earth’s atmosphere. India is working on its own Indian Human Space Flight Programme, Gaganyaan,  that is expected to launch the first astronauts independently around 2021 or 2022. While the country has not disclosed a time frame for going to the Moon, officials have expressed interest in sending humans there at some point.

These Asian countries form part of a larger group of countries who have lunar ambitions. Although the race to reach the Moon is friendlier and more multinational than it was in the 1960s, it is clear that Earth’s nearest large neighbour in space still holds attraction for everyone capable of exploring it. National pride and technological prowess, together, are encouraging these countries not only to go to the Moon but—if money and political interest permit—to develop a long-term economy there and expand across the solar system.

Written by Elizabeth Howell

Elizabeth Howell has reported and written on space for such outlets as Space.com and Forbes. She is president of the Science Writers and Communicators of Canada.

Top Image Credit: NASA

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