LSU vs. Texas: Odds, betting trends, things to watch, prediction

We’ll soon find out if Texas is back for good.  

No. 9 Texas takes on No. 6 LSU at 7 p.m. ET at Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Texas, on Saturday. It’s the first top-10 showdown of the 2019 season and a huge piece of College Football Playoff real estate for both teams.  

The Longhorns are looking to make another statement under third-year coach Tom Herman, and quarterback Sam Ehlinger is coming off a four-TD performance in the opener against Louisiana Tech.  

LSU, meanwhile, will look to flex its SEC muscle on the road. Joe Burrow threw for five TDs and averaged 10.3 yards per attempt in the Tigers’ opener, and it will be interesting to see how that new-look offense translates on the road.  

With that in mind, here is everything you need to know for Saturday’s blockbuster matchup:  

MORE: Get the latest college football odds at Sportsbook Review

How to watch LSU vs. Texas

The LSU-Texas game will start at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday. It will be televised nationally on ABC.  

Betting odds for LSU vs. Texas

LSU is favored, and the spread ranges from +4 to +5.5 at this point.  

All-time series

This is the 16th meeting between the schools. Texas has an 8-6-1 advantage in the series, and the last meeting was at the 2003 Cotton Bowl. The Longhorns won that game by a final score of 35-20. The teams have only met one time when both teams were ranked. No. 7 LSU beat No. 4 Texas, 13-0, in the 1963 Cotton Bowl.  

Three trends to know

— LSU is 4-5 against the spread as an away favorite since 2016. That includes a 2-4 record since Ed Orgeron took over as head coach.  

— Texas is 2-0-1 against the spread as a home underdog under Tom Herman.  

— The Longhorns are 3-2 S/U at home against ranked teams since 2017. LSU is 2-0 S/U against ranked teams on the road under Orgeron in the same stretch.  

Three things to watch 

“Air Burreaux”

The hire of Saints passing game coordinator Joe Brady seemingly revolutionized the Tigers’ offense. Burrow hit 85.2 percent of his passes in the opener, and Terrace Marshall Jr. caught three TDs. 

Will LSU stick with that game plan and engage in a Big 12 shootout? The Tigers will not abandon the run after averaging just 3.7 yards per carry in Week 1, and if that running game is humming, then Texas will be in trouble.  

LSU linebackers

Jacob Phillips and DeAndre Clark combined for 19 tackles last week for the Tigers, and they’ll be tasked with making sure Ehlinger can’t break loose on scrambles out of the pocket. Ehlinger had just eight carries for 34 yards last week, but he should be more involved this week if those linebackers key on Deontay Ingram, who averaged 7.1 yards per carry in the opener.  

Ehlinger at home

Ehlinger is 7-3 in home starts, none bigger than this one. He plays better at home with 19 TD passes and just four interceptions. If Ehlinger can complete 65 percent of his passes and be effective with his legs, then the Longhorns will be in position to score in the 30s.  

Stat that matters

Texas allowed just 2.8 yards per carry last week. For all the talk about the quarterbacks, this game comes down to the Longhorns’ ability to stop the run and force Burrow into third-and-long situations. Even in a new offense, they could make the second-year starter uncomfortable. Burrow failed to throw for more than 200 yards in two of LSU’s three losses last season.  


All of the earmarks for a “Game of the Year” scenario exist here. These are two top-10 teams looking to break through to the College Football Playoff, and this is a game you need to get there.

Burrow and Ehlinger will put on a show through the air. LSU will have a touchdown lead at halftime, but Ehlinger will add to his Texas legend by leading a fourth-quarter comeback in a wild finish.  

Final score

Texas 31, LSU 28