NFL Week 13 betting guide: Odds, key matchups, stats & trends, injury report for every game

June 4, 2020

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It’s NFL week 13, otherwise known as Thanksgiving week. And NFL bettors have plenty to be thankful for, from the traditional Thursday three-game ledger before a jampacked Sunday gets underway, capped off by back-to-back primetime showstoppers on Sunday and Monday.

MORE: Get the latest NFL odds & betting advice at Sportsbook Review

In this NFL Week 13 betting guide, a veritable buffet of betting analysis is laid out for fans to chew on. Opening NFL odds, market movements, injury reports and various key stats and betting trends and more are highlighted in an effort to provide insight to NFL bettors in their handicapping endeavors.

Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions

  • Thursday, Nov. 28, 2019, 12:30 p.m. ET
  • Ford Field, Detroit
  • TV Broadcast: FOX
  • Opening Line: PK / 41
  • Season Record: Bears (5-6-0) vs Lions (3-7-1)

Bookmakers went to press with – understandably – a PK line for this Thanksgiving appetizer between the Bears and Lions, two subpar NFC North rivals. Since open doors, however, the public has bet up Chicago to almost a field goal advantage on the road. NFL bettors that shop around will find the Bears hanging on a 2.5 point spread with most online sportsbooks while some have gone to Bears -3 with adjusted vig. 

That the public has bet up Chicago says more about the dire straits the Lions are in than it does say anything positive about the Bears. Let’s face it, Mitch Trubisky is still no better than he was a few weeks ago and the Chicago offense is still suspect. Talk is rife about the beginning of the end for Trubisky in Chicago.

Matt Nagy’s only saving grace is the defense, which is doing as much as possible. It’s that side of the ball Nagy relies on and the very same reason why football bettors are likely hanging their hats on Chicago with their Week 13 NFL picks. 

Consider the matchup against the Detroit’s crippled offense and porous defense and this could be a more lopsided outcome than the NFL betting market would have it.  

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last five games
  • Lions are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games at home
  • Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games
  • Bears are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games 
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago’s last 5 games

Key Injuries:

CHI – OL Bobby Massie (Ankle) is doubtful for Thursday; DB Sherrick McManis (Groin) is out indefinitely; TE Adam Shaheen (Foot) and LB Danny Trevathan (Elbow) are both listed as questionable for Thursday.

DET – DT Damon Harrison Sr. (Knee), P Sam Martin (Abdominal), TE T.J. Hockenson (Shoulder), QB Jeff Driskel (Hamstring), WR Marvin Hall (Foot), CB Rashaan Melvin (Ribs), CB Jamal Agnew (Ankle) are all listed as questionable for Thursday.

MORE: Follow the latest betting trends for Bears vs. Lions

Buffalo Bills vs. Dallas Cowboys

  • Thursday, Nov. 28, 2019, 4:30 p.m. ET
  • AT&T Stadium, Arlington
  • TV Broadcast: CBS
  • Opening Line: Cowboys -7.5 / 45
  • Season Record: Bills (8-3-0) vs Cowboys (6-5-0)

The point spread for Thanksgiving’s main course is an eye-popper if ever there was one. Dallas generously laying a touchdown or thereabouts to Buffalo must be hard to swallow given the Cowboys have yet to beat a winning team this season. Last checked, the 8-3 SU Bills were a winning team. More so than the Cowboys at 6-5 SU are this season.

A lot is being made about the Bills’ record being the result of a soft schedule. At some point though one has to let go of that notion because it’s disrespectful to all involved.

Winning in the NFL isn’t straightforward. So-called lesser opponents can punch above their weight class from time to time (cough*Jets beat Cowboys*cough). So, eight wins out of eleven games is nothing to sneeze at and maybe it’s time the Bills get some respect.

Whether you’re on board with Josh Allen and the Bills offense or not, the Bills defense is legit and it can do damage against a Cowboys side that isn’t all that. Dak Prescott and the Cowboys have struggled against strong defenses this season – Vikings, Packers and Patriots have all taken strips off America’s team, the former two accomplishing the feat at the AT&T. As such, this is an exploitable spread for Buffalo and NFL bettors should grab the points.

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Cowboys are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games at home
  • Bills are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games
  • Bills are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas’ last 7 games

Key Injuries:

BUF—C Mitch Morse (finger) is listed as questionable; WR Robert Foster (Hamstring) and S Siran Neal (Concussion) are listed as probable for Thursday.

DAL – S Jeff Heath (Shoulder), LB Leighton Vander Esch (Neck), S Donovan Wilson (Illness) are all listed as questionable for Thursday.

MORE: Follow the latest betting trends for Bills vs. Cowboys

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons

  • Thursday, Nov. 28, 2019, 8:20 p.m. ET
  • Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
  • TV Broadcast: NBC
  • Opening Line: Saints -7 / 48.5 
  • Season Record: Saints (9-2) vs Falcons (3-8-0)

Thanksgiving’s dessert comes in the form of a rematch between NFC South rivals that met only a couple of weeks ago to deliver a surprising outcome. Indeed, the Saints losing to the Falcons at the Superdome didn’t go down a treat with the home faithful or the betting public that had long written off Atlanta. 

The Falcons went on to upset yet another NFC South foe in the ensuing week when they beat Carolina. However, that brief surge proved short lived. The wheels came undone again against the erratic Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 12. 

The Saints, meanwhile, reeled off back-to-back victories over NFC South rivals since that awful loss to Atlanta. Drew Brees led the Saints to wins over the Bucs and Panthers, the latter of which was a nail bitter at the Superdome that ended in a 34-31 victory for the hosts.

To be fair, the Saints giving up almost a touchdown on the road to the Falcons is unnerving. Based on the contrasting fortunes of both teams it makes sense that the Saints are heavy favorites. However, divisional matchups can be unpredictable.

NFL bettors may consider playing it cool here before placing their Thursday Night Football picks. Already there’s a bit of movement in the market with the Saints dropping by half-a-point. It might drop further to Saints -6, which would take care of the pesky hook and make all the difference in a heated divisional battle.

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Falcons are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games at home
  • Falcons are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against Saints
  • Saints are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games
  • Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games at home

Key Injuries:

ATL – DT Tyeler Davison (Neck), DE Takkarist McKinley (Shoulder), DB Jordan Miller (Illness), S Sharrod Neasman (Shoulder), TE Luke Stocker (Back), CB Desmond Trufant (Toe) and WR Julio Jones (Shoulder) are all listed as questionable for Thursday.

NO – C Will Clapp (Back), WR Deonte Harris (Hamstring), CB Marshon Lattimore (Hamstring) and FB Zach Line (Knee) are all listed as questionable for Thursday.

MORE: Follow the latest betting trends for Saints vs. Falcons

New York Jets vs. Cincinnati Bengals

  • Sunday, Dec. 1, 2019, 1 p.m. ET
  • Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati
  • TV Broadcast: CBS
  • Opening Line: Jets -4 / 41
  • Season Record: Jets (4-7-0) vs Bengals (0-11-0)

The Jets are surging behind a three-game winning streak, taking care of business against fellow stragglers such as the Giants and Redskins and then upsetting the highly fancied Raiders at home. Indeed, the Jets proved to be the value underdogs in week 12’s lopsided 34-3 victory over fringe playoff contenders Oakland. 

By the win-loss column, the 4-7 SU Jets hardly strike a convincing pose. Yet, laying just 4 points to the hapless Bengals, who are winless this season and sport a 4-7 ATS mark seems to be naff. Consider the Bengals are losing games by an average 12.3 points this season. They’re also 0-5 ATS at home with a whopping 15.8 losing margin on average.
Oddly enough the spread for this game is on the move and it’s trending towards the Bengals, who are now hanging on just 3.5 points with most top-rated sports betting sites. This might have something to do with the proposed return of Andy Dalton to the starting line-up. 

Was Dandy Andy that good in his first 8 starts? Not really. Besides, even if Dalton is an upgrade on Ryan Finley by virtue of experience, it doesn’t change the fact that the issues with the Bengals runs deep, from an injury-riddled offense to an unfit defense and a wholly overwhelmed coaching staff. In short, the Bengals are just bad. As such, the Jets at -3.5 is a steal bet.

NFL Betting Trends

  • Bengals are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Bengals are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games at home
  • Jets are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road
  • Jets are 5-6 ATS in their last 11 games:
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games

Key Injuries:

NYJ – T Kevlin Beachum (Ankle) is listed as day-to-day; T Chuma Edoga (Knee) is out indefinitely.

CIN – TE Cethan Carter (Concussion) is listed as day-to-day.

MORE: Follow the latest betting trends for Jets vs. Bengals

Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts

  • Sunday, Dec. 1, 2019, 1 p.m. ET
  • Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis
  • TV Broadcast: CBS
  • Opening Line: Colts -3 / 42
  • Season Record: Titans (6-5-0) vs Colts (6-5-0)

Bookmakers went to press with the Colts laying a field goal to the Titans on the NFL odds board. But the NFL line is on the move since markets opened this week and it’s moving in favor of the Titans. As it stands, Colts are now laying -2.5 with most top-rated online sportsbooks. 

Clearly, the public is buying what the Titans are selling with Ryan Tannehill as the signal caller. Tennessee is after all 4-1 SU since the Miami castoff took over from Marcus Mariota, and last week’s 42-20 win over the Jaguars, which included Tannehill catapulting into the endzone for a TD, was yet another signal of intent to the AFC South. 

Indeed, the Titans are coming – literally and figuratively. Jacoby Brissett and the Colts can’t underestimate this Titans team. The 19-17 victory in week 2 by Indy is a lifetime ago and it featured Mariota not Tannehill 2.0 (a much improved version of his Dolphin days). It doesn’t help the Colts’ cause that they’re one banged up team and a shell of their early season selves. 

To all intents and purposes, backing the Titans as the road underdogs is worth considering for Week 13 NFL picks, if not for the outright upset.

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Colts are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games at home
  • Colts are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against Titans
  • Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Titans are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee’s last 5 games

Key Injuries:

TEN – CB LeShaun Sims (Ankle) is listed as day-to-day.

IND – TE Eric Ebron (Ankle) is on I-R; RB Marlon Mack (Hand) is out indefinitely.

MORE: Follow the latest betting trends for Titans vs. Colts

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Miami Dolphins

  • Sunday, Dec. 1, 2019, 1 p.m. ET
  • Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens
  • TV Broadcast: FOX
  • Opening Line: Eagles -7.5 / 46.5
  • Season Record: Eagles (5-6-0) vs Dolphins (2-9-0)

Carson Wentz and the Eagles are fast falling out of favor in Super Bowl LIV betting markets following back-to-back losses to the Patriots and Seahawks at home that have the Eagles sitting on a lowly 5-6 SU mark. Philadelphia is simply not the team many expected they would be in 2019. What’s more, Wentz has succumbed to a second-half-of-the-season-injury yet again. Can the franchise-tagged quarterback ever complete a season intact? 

Oddly enough despite the legitimate concerns surrounding Wentz and his right-hand injury, the market on this game received a massive jolt with the Eagles shooting up in favor from -7.5 to -10 in some cases. Early bettors appear to be pounding the Eagles for Week 13 NFL picks.

To be fair, early reports do suggest Wentz will be starting on Sunday against the Dolphins. However, that’s not a confirmation but mere conjecture at this point in time. Bettors be wary.

On the whole, the Eagles have the talent advantage over the Dolphins, but the hosts have made games rather interesting of late. They’re 5-2 ATS in their last seven games, including two wins over the Jets and Colts. The Eagles should win, but the Fins could make it closer than the NFL odds would suggest. Miami as the double-digit home underdog might be exploitable as such for point spread bettors looking for tempting puppies to tickle on their NFL picks.

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Dolphins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games
  • Dolphins are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games at home
  • Eagles are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games
  • Eagles are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games

Key Injuries:

PHI – QB Carson Wentz (Hand), WR Nelson Agholor (Knee) and Brandon Brooks (Illness) are listed as day-to-day.

MIA – WR Jakeem Grant (Ankle), WR Albert Wilson (Ribs) and CB Ken Crawley (Shoulder) are all listed as day-to-day.

MORE: Follow the latest betting trends for Eagles vs. Dolphins

Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants

  • Sunday, Dec. 1, 2019, 1 p.m. ET
  • MetLife Stadium East Rutherford
  • TV Broadcast: FOX
  • Opening Line: Packers -7.5/ 46.5
  • Season Record: Packers (8-3-0) vs Giants (2-9-0)

The Packers were jumped by the Niners on Sunday Night Football in a bad way, but inasmuch as the loss was embarrassing it could also be a sobering experience for Aaron Rodgers and the Packers well ahead of the playoffs. Fix any issues before the going gets really tough and the stakes are higher. 

A date with the woeful Giants is just what the doctor ordered and Aaron Rodgers should be licking his chops at an opportunity to serve up a clinic. Daniel Jones is experiencing growing pains in the NFL and the G-men are riding seven-game losing streak into Week 13.

Appropriately, bookmakers went to press with the Packers laying -7 on the NFL odds board. Surprisingly, the NFL line is moving against Green Bay with several online sportsbooks posting the Packers on -6.5 or -6 against the spread. 

For those bettors on board with the Packers bouncing back in week 13, grab the points now before they head back up later in the week. The Giants are 4-7 ATS this season with an 8.3 losing margin on average and just 1-4 ATS with a 7.2 losing margin on average at MetLife.

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Giants are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games
  • Giants are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games at home
  • Packers are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games on the road
  • Packers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants’ last 5 games at home

Key Injuries:

GB – T Bryan Bulaga (Knee) is listed as day-to-day.

NYG – WR Golden Tate (Concussion) is listed as day-to-day; S Jabrill Peppers (Back) is expected back mid-December.

MORE: Follow the latest betting trends for Packers vs. Giants

Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Sunday, Dec. 1, 2019, 1 p.m. ET
  • Heinz Field, Pittsburgh
  • TV Broadcast: CBS
  • Opening Line: PK / 40.5
  • Season Record: Browns (5-6-0) vs Steelers (6-5-0)

The grudge match between the Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers is sure to garner a whole lot of attention in week 13. Probably best Mike Tomlin has given undrafted rookie Devlin Hodges the nod to start instead of Mason Rudolph. 

A lot is at stake in this matchup in terms of the postseason prospects of both teams. The Steelers are ahead in the table behind a 6-5 SU mark, which includes a win over the Bengals in week 12. The Browns have played themselves into playoff contention with three straight wins. 

Not surprisingly, bookmakers went to press with this match delicately poised on a PK line. Essentially throwing it out to the public to decide its temperament. As it stands, it’s all shades of Brown. The public has bet up Cleveland, tendering the Browns as the nominal road favorites anywhere from -1 to -2.5 depending on your choice sportsbook.

It bears mentioning that this game is set to get underway at Heinz Field. A place that has been unkind to the Browns in recent memory (or forever more like). It’s also worth taking stock of the fact that the Steelers are a league best 4-2 ATS at home with a 6.5-point winning margin on average this season. That’s made all the more impressive considering the quarterback carousel in Pittsburgh.

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Steelers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
  • Steelers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home
  • Browns are 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7 games
  • Browns are 1-7-1 SU in their last 9 games against Steelers
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 6 games

Key Injuries:

CLE – DE Myles Garrett (Suspension) is out for the season.

PIT – no new injuries listed.

MORE: Follow the latest betting trends for Browns vs. Steelers

Washington Redskins vs. Carolina Panthers 

  • Sunday, Dec. 1, 2019, 1 p.m. ET
  • Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte
  • TV Broadcast: CBS
  • Opening Line: Panthers -9.5 / 41
  • Season Record: Redskins (2-9-0) vs Panthers (5-6-0)

Dwayne Haskins gives new meaning to the term millennials. How does he get lost taking selfies with fans in the stands while the game is still not over and Case Keenum is forced to take the last snap? Oh dear. 

Suppose he should be allowed to enjoy his first NFL victory. It might be the last of the season. Certainly, the NFL odds are stacked heavily against Washington for their Week 13 date against the Carolina Panthers, who are still smarting from a narrow loss to divisional foes New Orleans Saints. 

Kyle Allen gave as good as he got in a 34-31 loss to the Saints that was decided by a last-gasp field goal. While the Panthers didn’t pull off the outright upset, they covered as the big road underdogs in New Orleans. 

All told, the Panthers are much better than their 5-6 SU record would suggest. They may be just 2-3 SU at home this season, but they’re essentially 2-1 SU at home with Kyle Allen. The lone loss was a 29-3 loss to the Falcons. 

Carolina opened as the -9.5 home chalk but early betting has seen the Panthers climb up to -10 already. For those bettors on the fence here, playing it coy and waiting to see how this line progresses over the course of the week might be the smart option. Washington is 2-3 ATS on the road with a 10-point losing margin on average.

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Panthers are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games
  • Panthers are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games at home
  • Redskins are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games
  • Redskins are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina’s last 7 games

Key Injuries:

WAS –  LB Ryan Anderson (Stinger), S Deshazor Everett (Head), QB Dwayne Haskins (Wrist), LB Ryan Kerrigan (Concussion) and WR Paul Richardson Sr. (Hamstring) are all listed as day-to-day.

CAR – T Greg Little (Ankle), RB Jordan Scarlett (Knee) and G Greg Van Roten (Toe) are all listed as day-to-day; DT Dontari Poe (Quadricep) is out for the season.

MORE: Follow the latest betting trends for Redskins vs. Panthers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Sunday, Dec. 1, 2019, 1 p.m. ET
  • TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville
  • TV Broadcast: FOX
  • Opening Line: Jaguars -3 / 49
  • Season Record: Bucs (4-7-0) vs Jaguars (4-7-0)

The in-state clash between Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Jacksonville Jaguars is one of the week’s biggest tossups as far as point spread betting goes. Despite Nick Foles returning to the line-up, the Jags can’t seem to buy a win no matter how hard they try. Meanwhile, Jameis Winston continues his erratic ways from game-to-game. 

The Jags are coming off an embarrassing loss to the Titans while the Bucs are flush off an upset over the Falcons. 

Not surprisingly, bookies have rolled out the customary field goal advantage awarded to a host when things look tricky and technically could go either way. NFL bettors can good reason to back either of these two teams for their spread picks. However, the value play here might be in total betting markets. 

The total opened at 49 points but it’s on the move and down to 48.5 points. The Bucs are a league-leading 9-2 against the number. The OVER bet is definitely workable here. 

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Jags are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games
  • Jags are 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games
  • Bucs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games
  • Bucs are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games against Jacksonville

Key Injuries:

TB – DL Beau Allen (Stinger) and CB Sean Murphy-Bunting (Knee) are listed as day-to-day.

JAX –  S Ronnie Harrison (Concussion) is listed as day-to-day.

MORE: Follow the latest betting trends for Buccaneers vs. Jaguars

San Francisco 49ers vs. Baltimore Ravens

  • Sunday, Dec. 1, 2019, 1 p.m. ET
  • M&T Stadium, Baltimore
  • TV Broadcast: FOX
  • Opening Line: Ravens -5 / 46
  • Season Record: Niners (10-1-0) vs Ravens (9-2-0)

This is the marquee game of the early Sunday NFL betting card for week 13, featuring a clash between the best teams in the AFC and NFC, which could be a prelude to a potential Super Bowl showdown. [Insert dramatic shiver].

The Niners and Ravens both deposited impressive accounts in their respective primetime slots in week 12. The Niners decimated the Packers at Levi’s Stadium on Sunday Night Football, while the Ravens crushed the Rams in Los Angeles on Monday Night Football. 

Homefield advantage holds up the Ravens as the home chalk in Week 13 NFL betting markets. Ravens opened laying -5 to the Niners and, interestingly, since open doors the Ravens have crept up to -6. 

Lamar Jackson is an NFL prodigy. A revelation to behold. And the Ravens offense is no slouch. Three games in a row, Jackson has been kicking back in the fourth quarter and letting RGIII remind NFL fans that he’s still alive and well. However, the Niners defense is something to behold as well. Giving Robert Salah’s crew that many points must feel like all your Christmases rolled into one. Surely, the Niners are good for the cover here, if not the outright upset?

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Ravens are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games at home
  • Niners are 2-3-1 ATS in their last 6 games
  • Niners are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco’s last 5 games

Key Injuries:

SF – OL Mike Person (Upper Body), T Justin Skule (Leg), CB Ahkello Witherspoon (Calf), and RB Jeff Wilson Jr. (Illness) are all listed as day-to-day.

BAL – CB Marlon Humphrey (Calf), G Matt Skura (Knee) and G Ben Powers (Thumb) are all questionable for Sunday.

MORE: Follow the latest betting trends for 49ers vs. Ravens

Los Angeles Rams vs. Arizona Cardinals 

  • Sunday, Dec. 1, 2019, 4:05 p.m. ET
  • State Farm Stadium, Glendale
  • TV Broadcast: FOX
  • Opening Line: Rams -3.5 / 47
  • Season Record: Rams (6-5-0) vs. Cardinals (3-7-1)

The Los Angeles Rams are losing their grip on a playoff wildcard in the NFC as they slip to a 6-5 SU record following Monday Night Football’s loss to the Baltimore Ravens. As it stands, they need a miracle to make a postseason appearance now.

In spite of their recent woes and the disappointment they’ve become for many NFL fans, oddsmakers are still on board with the Rams as the road faves for their divisional tilt against the Arizona Cardinals in week 13. The Rams enter NFL betting markets as the field-goal favorites or thereabouts depending on your choice online sportsbook. 

However, taking the shine off of the Rams for Week 13 NFL picks is the manner in which they lost to the Ravens. Barely striking an audible chord in a 45-6 beatdown. They were like lambs to the slaughter. Goff and the offense were rendered ineffective and the defense was found wanting.

While the Rams are on the decline the Cardinals appear to be on the up. They’re coming off a bye week, which is an advantage over the Rams who are faced with a short week. Can Kliff Kingsbury and Kyler Murray dial up another stunner for Sean McVay and the Rams? Murray is a mobile quarterback, not unlike Jackson in some respects.

The Cardinals twice gave the Niners a serious run for their money. They’ve been knocking on the door of an upset since week 1 and this could finally be the matchup in which they announce their arrival. Betting on the upset here might be workable for Week 13 NFL picks. 

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Cardinals are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games
  • Cardinals are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
  • Rams are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games
  • Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games at home

Key Injuries:

LAR – LB Natrez Patrick (Illness) is listed as questionable.

ARI – DE Jonathan Bullard (Foot) and CB Tramaine Brock Sr. (Hamstring) are both listed as questionable for week 13.

MORE: Follow the latest betting trends for Rams vs. Cardinals

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Denver Broncos

  • Sunday, Dec. 1, 2019, 4:25 p.m. ET
  • Empower Field at Mile High, Denver
  • TV Broadcast: CBS
  • Opening Line: PK / 38.5
  • Season Record: Chargers (4-7-0) vs Broncos (3-8-0)

Two AFC West opponents fast going nowhere in 2019 collide in week 13 for a matchup that will bear little importance save for pride. The Chargers are a massive disappointment in 2019 while the Broncos are exactly what many expected they would be this season. 

Anthony Lynn’s side recently fell to the Chiefs in Mexico City, a loss that marked their second straight loss and fifth in the last seven games. The Broncos, meanwhile, suffered their second straight loss in week 12 in Buffalo. 

Not surprisingly, bookies went to press with this matchup hanging on a PK line. The public has reacted by betting up the Chargers to -2.5 with most sports betting venues. At face value, the Chargers are the better team overall. Plus, Rivers is the better quarterback than the untried and untested Brandon Allen. Still, it’s hard to feel confident about either team with Week 13 NFL picks against the spread. 

Perhaps betting the total is the best angle for profit in this game. The Chargers are 3-8 against the number while the Broncos are 4-7 against the number. A wager on the UNDER may be exploitable as a result.

NFL Betting Trends:

Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games
Broncos are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
Chargers are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games
Chargers are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Los Angeles Chargers’ last 10 games

Key Injuries:

LAC – CB Michael Davis (Suspension) is eligible in week 15; LB Drue Tranquill (Calf). T Russell Okung (Groin), RB Justin Jackson (Calf) and T Sam Tevi (Knee) are all listed as questionable for week 13.

DEN – LB Von Miller (Knee), WR Courtland Sutton (Ankle), NT Shelby Harris (Ankle), LB Josey Jewell (Ankle), DB Duke Dawson Jr. (Concussion) and CB Cyrus Jones (Illness) are all listed as day-to-day.

MORE: Follow the latest betting trends for Chargers vs. Broncos

Oakland Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs

  • Sunday, Dec. 1, 2019, 4:25 p.m. ET
  • Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City 
  • TV Broadcast: CBS
  • Opening Line: Chiefs -11.5 / 54.5
  • Season Record: Raiders (6-5-0) vs Chiefs (7-4-0)

The Raiders were caught admiring themselves in the mirror and as a result came crashing back down to reality in the Big Apple on the heels of an embarrassing 34-3 loss to the New York Jets. 

A few weeks ago, NFL experts were writing the Jets’ obituary on the season all the while spouting untold fortunes for the Raiders, including suggesting Oakland would wrestle the AFC West title from the Chiefs’ firm grip. If the tussle in New York was anything to go by, Oakland fans shouldn’t hold their breaths. Derek Carr and the young Raiders offense were found sorely wanting. 

Not without some irony, the Raiders are set to take on the very rival in week 13 that they were supposedly destined to take down this season. Should be an interesting matchup to spot, particularly as the NFL betting market is severely cast against the visiting Raiders.

Kansas City Chiefs are laying a bucketload of points to the Raiders for their clash at Arrowhead in Sunday’s marquee game of the afternoon. The Chiefs haven’t been dominating the way they were last season, but they’re coming off a bye week and should be raring to go. 

It’s the home stretch right now and the AFC West title is in the reigning MVP’s hands. The last time the Raiders and Chiefs collided, Mahomes tossed 4 TDs in the second quarter to lift the Chiefs to the 28-10 win on the road. Don’t be surprised if the Chiefs make a mockery of the point spread again.

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Chiefs are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games at home
  • Chiefs are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games at home
  • Raiders are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games against Chiefs
  • Raiders are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland’s last 9 games

Key Injuries:

OAK – DT Jonathan Hankins (Leg) and C Rodney Hudson (Foot) are both listed as day-to-day; WR Hunter Renfrow (Ribs) is out indefinitely.

KC – RB LeSean McCoy (Concussion) and WR Tyreek Hill (Hamstring) are both listed as probable for week 13; S Jordan Lucas (Shoulder), C Austin Reiter (Concussion) and RB Damien Williams (Ribs) are all listed as questionable for week 13.

MORE: Follow the latest betting trends for Raiders vs. Chiefs

New England Patriots vs. Houston Texans

  • Sunday, Dec. 1, 2019, 8:20 p.m. ET
  • NRG Stadium, Houston
  • TV Broadcast: NBC
  • Opening Line: Patriots -4 / 44.5 
  • Season Record: Patriots (10-1-0) vs Texans (7-4-0)

The New England Patriots enter week 13 with a stellar 10-1-0 SU record and a 7-3 ATS record that includes a 16.6 winning margin on average. On the road, they’re 4-2 ATS with a 16.3 winning margin on average. 

So, it’s no surprise the Patriots descend on Houston as the road favorites, anywhere from -3 to -3.5 depending on your preferred sports betting platform. The NFL line is down from the initial -4, which can only be interpreted as great news for Patriots fans looking to bank on New England for Week 13 NFL picks. 

The Texans are coming off a long week following a Thursday Night football victory over the Indianapolis Colts, a positive outcome that puts them at the top of the AFC South. However, taking down the Patriots is a tough ask, something Bill O’Brien has yet to accomplish in his career with the Texans. 

Color the world shocked if the Patriots don’t smash the point spread to smithereens here. Deshaun Watson wilted in the last big game that featured the Texans and Ravens. It was awful to watch. While he may not be as bad this time around, the Patriots defense could still make him look average in Sunday Night Football. 

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games at home
  • Texans are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games against Patriots
  • Patriots are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games
  • Patriots are 15-1 SU in their last 16 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England’s last 7 games on the road

Key Injuries:

NE – S Patrick Chung (Head) is listed as day-to-day.

HOU – DE Carlos Watkins (Hamstring) is day-to-day; LB Dylan Cole (Calf) is on I-R.

MORE: Follow the latest betting trends for Patriots vs. Texans

Minnesota Vikings vs. Seattle Seahawks

  • Monday, Dec. 2, 2019, 8:15 p.m. ET
  • CenturyLink Field, Seattle
  • TV Broadcast: ESPN
  • Opening Line: Seahawks -3 / 49.5 
  • Season Record: Vikings (8-3-0) vs Seahawks (9-2-0)

Seattle Seahawks welcome a rejuvenated Minnesota Vikings for Monday Night Football, rounding out Thanksgiving week of football. This should be a right cracker between two in-form NFC playoff hopefuls. 

As it stands, very little separates this pair in the NFC standings. The Seahawks have the lone win advantage and both occupy the fifth and sixth seeds respectively. Seahawks are flush off a 17-9 victory over the Eagles while the Vikings have been resting their laurels with a week 12 bye. 

Kirk Cousins is having a season to remember and, importantly, has come up trumps for Vikings fans in primetime this season. His primetime worth is sure to be tested at CenturyLink field against a Seahawks team that is rounding into form down the stretch – as per usual – and with Russell Wilson featuring in the MVP mix. 

The Seahawks are tipped as field goal favorites but the Vikings are dangerous floaters that could pull off the upset. NFL bettors will be challenged by this week 13 NFL pick because it really could go either way. Homefield advantage sways this game ever so slightly in Seattle’s favor, but the Vikings are 3-3 ATS on the road this season with a 2.7 winning margin on average. The Vikings could very well keep this close, if not pull off the upset. 

The total for this game is the most intriguing as it’s trending down on the NFL odds board from an initial serving of 49.5 to 48.5 at several sports betting outlets. A trend that makes an OVER bet workable given both teams are 6-5 against the number.

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Seahawks are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games
  • Seahawks are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games
  • Vikings are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games
  • Vikings are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games against Seahawks
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota’s last 6 games

Key Injuries:

MIN – LB Ben Gedeon (Concussion), S Anthony Harris (Groin), G Josh Kline (Concussion) and S Harrison Smith (Hamstring) are listed as questionable for week 13

SEA – DT Jarran Reed (Ankle) and CB Neiko Thorpe (Groin) is listed as day-to-day.

MORE: Follow the latest betting trends for Vikings vs. Seahawks

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